Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.825986 0.929297 1.041776 1.173532 1.323892 1.490427 1.689250
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.663655 0.802569 0.966256 1.174218 1.432602 1.744621 2.152284
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.564443 0.715115 0.902003 1.152461 1.481758 1.903273 2.489036
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.512348 0.674724 0.884943 1.179637 1.586202 2.133344 2.935540
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.457705 0.622503 0.843638 1.165617 1.628365 2.278400 3.276651
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.421682 0.590381 0.824190 1.176566 1.702314 2.470633 3.702487
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.384004 0.551494 0.790332 1.161461 1.733987 2.600900 4.046101
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.354149 0.520684 0.764488 1.154243 1.774545 2.745657 4.425432
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.317860 0.476899 0.715098 1.105427 1.743837 2.773083 4.612615
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.302024 0.462746 0.709227 1.123677 1.821205 2.981090 5.127243
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.288433 0.450789 0.705427 1.144252 1.903332 3.203747 5.692214
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.273062 0.434638 0.693356 1.149487 1.958895 3.384737 6.200967
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.257705 0.417678 0.679139 1.150682 2.009063 3.564134 6.735481
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.245763 0.405509 0.671967 1.163498 2.081392 3.791763 7.394526
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.228846 0.383545 0.646224 1.140505 2.084573 3.888212 7.798733
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.221568 0.377678 0.647923 1.167552 2.184772 4.182186 8.653087
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.208615 0.360822 0.628748 1.153668 2.203527 4.315090 9.175938
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.200349 0.351756 0.622893 1.164496 2.272084 4.556116 9.970689
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.189177 0.336602 0.604687 1.149561 2.286334 4.683995 10.521369
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.179904 0.324346 0.591017 1.142425 2.315941 4.847489 11.177925
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.166188 0.302864 0.558352 1.094158 2.253332 4.800993 11.314989
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.161461 0.298232 0.557898 1.112203 2.336389 5.090982 12.335505
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.157262 0.294330 0.558559 1.132547 2.426330 5.406349 13.467536